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Sunday, September 16, 2012

o'bamanomics - QE3: Borrow Yourself Out of Debt? Inflation. You're worthles$.


"The American Republic will endure, until politicians realize they can bribe the people with their own money."
-- Alexis de Tocqueville [Alexis Charles Henri Maurice Clerel, le Comte de Tocqueville] (1805-1859) French historian
"You cannot bring about prosperity by discouraging thrift.  You cannot help small men by tearing down big men.  You cannot strengthen the weak by weakening the strong.  You cannot lift the wage-earner by pulling down the wage-payer.  You cannot help the poor man by destroying the rich.  You cannot keep out of trouble by spending more than your income.  You cannot further the brotherhood of man by inciting class hatred.  You cannot establish security on borrowed money.  You cannot build character and courage by taking away men's initiative and independence.  You cannot help men permanently by doing for them what they could and should do for themselves."
-- William Boetcker, (1873-1962) German-born Presbyterian clergyman, 1916
"If all the bank loans were paid, no one could have a bank deposit, and there would not be a dollar of coin or currency in circulation.  This is a staggering thought.   We are completely dependent on the commercial Banks.   Someone has to borrow every dollar we have in circulation, cash or credit.  If the Banks create ample synthetic money we are prosperous; if not, we starve.   We are absolutely without a permanent money system.  When one gets a complete grasp of the picture, the tragic absurdity of our hopeless position is almost incredible, but there it is.  It is the most important subject intelligent persons can investigate and reflect upon.   It is so important that our present civilization may collapse unless it becomes widely understood and the defects remedied very soon."
-- Robert Hemphill, Credit Manager of Federal Reserve Bank, Atlanta, Ga. 
Source: In the foreword to a book by Irving Fisher, entitled "100% Money"
"So low and hopeless are the finances of the United States, that, the year before last Congress was obliged to borrow money even, to pay the interest of the principal which we had borrowed before.  This wretched resource of turning interest into principal, is the most humiliating and disgraceful measure that a nation could take, and approximates with rapidity to absolute ruin: Yet it is the inevitable and certain consequence of such a system as the existing Confederation."
-- William Richardson Davie (1756-1820) Governor of North Carolina (1798-1799),
North Carolina delegate to the 1787-88 Constitutional Convention
"It is a wise rule and should be fundamental in a government disposed to cherish its credit, and at the same time to restrain the use of it within the limits of its faculties, never to borrow a dollar without laying a tax in the same instant for paying the interest annually, and the principal within a given term; and to consider that tax as pledged to the creditors on the public faith."
-- Thomas Jefferson, letter to John Wayles Eppes, 1813
"He that goes a borrowing goes a sorrowing." -- Benjamin Franklin, writings, 1758
"A penny saved is twopence clear." -- Benjamin Franklin, Poor Richard's Almanack, 1737
"As on the one hand, the necessity for borrowing in particular emergencies cannot be doubted, so on the other, it is equally evident that to be able to borrow upon good terms, it is essential that the credit of a nation should be well established."
-- Alexander Hamilton, Report on Public Credit, 1790
"It is well enough that people of the nation do not understand our banking and monetary system, for if they did, I believe there would be a revolution before tomorrow morning."
-- Henry Ford, Founder of Ford Motor Company, commenting on the privately owned "Federal Reserve System"

quotes: http://harrold.org/quotes

Egan-Jones is downgrading its rating on U.S. debt to AA- from AA, citing Federal Reserve plans to try to stimulate the economy.
QE3 Sparks US Credit Ratings Downgrade


Bernanke Announces QE3: Here's Your Fact Sheet!
By Brian LaSorsa, FreedomWorks.org, on September 14, 2012

Chairman Ben Bernanke made two announcements Thursday about monetary policy: (1) the Federal Reserve will begin its third round of quantitative easing, and (2) it will maintain extremely low interest rates of 0 to 1/4 percent until at least mid-2015.  These banking actions may sound like gobbledygook, but their effects on our country's currency are drastically serious. Let's translate a few things into layman's terms.
"QE3" — what's this mean?
The acronym refers to an unconventional monetary policy called "quantitative easing," and the subsequent number refers to the specific round of easing.  Yes, this means the Fed has already completed two rounds without success.
The stated goal is to stimulate economic growth.  At this point the Fed has forced interest rates as low as humanly possible — any lower and lenders would be paying creditors — so the only option left is to create money out of thin air and inject it into the nation's money supply by purchasing various banks' financial assets.
What will QE3 entail?
The Fed will buy $85 billion in assets every month until the end of the year.  Its purchases will consist of $40 billion in mortgage-backed securities (essentially mortgage debt) belonging to one of our economy's most depressed industries.
Unlike QE1 and QE2, QE3 is "open-ended."  This gives the Fed unlimited power to extend the year-end deadline.  Not only can it continue buying potentially worthless assets "if the outlook for the labor market does not improve substantially," it admits the practice will probably be used even "after the economic recovery strengthens."
Ultimately the choice to dilute the USD's purchasing power is left up to Bernanke's discretion.
Can we trust Bernanke's discretion?
Even if QE were a sensible plan, you may ask, how accurate is the Chairman in analyzing economic trends?  History's answer: he's terribly inaccurate.  Let's hope he doesn't get into archery.  For example, in January 2008, Bernanke explained to reporters, "The Federal Reserve is not currently forecasting a recession."  You'll see in the graph below — obtained from the Bureau of Labor Statistics — that his embarrassing forecast was followed immediately by skyrocketing unemployment.
Unemployment Rate
On the other hand, Congressman Ron Paul and investor Peter Schiff were predicting the housing crisis-fueled recession all the way back in the early 2000s.  So I'm a little wary of Bernanke's ability to properly understand the business cycle, let alone of giving him the tools that cause the cycles.
What effects will we see?
The balance sheet below — obtained from the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland — is a summary view of the central bank's holdings.  You can click the image to view the full-sized chart, or you can check out the Wall Street Journal's interactive graphic featuring the same numbers.
Federal Reserve Balance Sheet
The amount of mortgage-backed securities is so worrisome because these assets are unstable and don't disappear after the Fed's purchase.  The securities still exist and have to be released back into the economy at some point in the future.  By temporarily flushing them out of the public's view, the Fed is misleading certain investors and leaving other ones bearish.  The release of these securities will be met with the realization that important resources are severely misallocated.
The immediate effects are more straight-forward.
Expect a strong boost to the stock market.  The Fed begins purchasing assets today, and that means Wall Street investors who own mortgage-backed securities will have liquid portfolios to spend on other stocks.  Typically zero percent interest rates signal you'll want to invest in industries like banking and housing for a short time while the bubble grows, but, since interest rates are already zero bound, the situation is stickier.
Currency dilution also signals that gold and silver prices will increase.  They'll be used as a hedge against the impending price inflation.  Any metal with intrinsic value — the currency advocated by Austrian School founder Carl Menger — will likely follow this pattern.
The details about how QE affects the rich and poor will have to wait for a future blog post.  I'll also explain the relationship between currency strength and the central bank, as well as what that relationship means for our country's economy.  In the end, policymakers will have to choose between two options: (1) monetize the debt through inflation as it's doing now, or (2) get America back on the path to fiscal conservatism and sound, constitutional money.
What do we do now?
Join FreedomWorks in our fight for accountability at the central bank by contacting your representatives and telling them to support "Audit the Fed."  You can also share Congressman Ron Paul's FAQ sheet with your friends and family.

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Mar 11, 2008 - "My friends, we live in the greatest nation in the history of the world.  I hope you'll join with me as we try to change it." -- B. Hussein Obama

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2014: o'der leader 'That's the Good Thing as a President, I Can Do Whatever I Want.'

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Now the U.S. Owes $175+ Trillion Dollars! (25Sep17) Up daily since o'tax'n spend was elected!

"The American Republic will endure, until politicians realize they can bribe the people with their own money."
-- Alexis de Tocqueville [Alexis Charles Henri Maurice Clerel, le Comte de Tocqueville] (1805-1859) French historian
The U.S. Deficit in 2007 was $9,007,653,372,262.48
The federal government has accumulated more new debt -- $3.22 trillion ($3,220,103,625,307.29) — during the tenure of the 111th Congress than it did during the first 100 Congresses combined, according to official debt figures published by the U.S. Treasury." -- By Terence P. Jeffrey, CNSNews.com (Read The Full Story)
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3 years ago: The Debt ~ $125T+! Then Obama:  Up $22T+ in only 3 years! $22T to $26T+ by 2015!  Since November 2011 to January 2013 he has added $2 Trillion to the deficit!  States' Unfunded: $3.2T+! • (Dec10) From Jan'09 the deficit: $10.2T→$14.6T up $4.3T/42%! -- Federal unfunded liabilities total $84 trillion .. equal to 5.7 percent of the present value of all future GDP, which translates into about 31 percent of the long run federal revenue estimate,” the report states.  “Thus federal revenues would have to rise immediately and permanently to 24.1 percent of GDP to cover the fiscal imbalance.” (source: http://dailycaller.com/2012/07/16/report-federal-unfunded-liabilities-total-84-trillion/)
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Deficit: $ national debt Totals Source: http://www.usdebtclock.orgUnfunded Liabilities: $ 107,599,889,000,000 (25Sep17)
Many Americans actually pay $1 out of ever $2 earned to some form of tax while ~50% of people pay no taxes!  Do you pay your bills?  The Fed takes $3 in and spends $5.  Debt per citizen: $51,985 - Debt per taxpayer: $142,513! (13Dec12)
Also, see the blog videos below at http://harrolds.blogspot.com/2009/09/national-debt-how-come-how-much-who-do.html
What were you doing in the last hour while the U.S. Gov't spent $188 Million Dollars of our money!  (Every Hour, Every Day!) (Apr11)   In 8 years, President Bush added $5 trillion to the national debt; President Obama, according to a revised Dec11 GAO report, added $4T+ to the U.S. deficit in 2011 alone!  The GAO estimates the deficit, including o'scamcare & mandates, may grow from $15T+ to over $26T+!  UPDATE: A little-noticed event occurred at approximately midnight on Monday, October 31, 2011.  The National Debt exceeded the GDP!  Imagine what these numbers are going to be now that Obama is reelected! (src)
A trillion seconds pass in 31,688 years.  At $1/sec it would take 41,194 years just to pay off o'tax'n spend's new Feb12-Feb13 added debt - 538,696 years to pay only the national debt or 4,404,632 years to settle the debt+unfunded liabilities!

"Over the last four years our national debt has risen nearly $6 trillion, and just last week the debt topped an astounding $16 trillion.  To put that in perspective, $16 trillion is enough money to fund the US military, along with the military of every NATO country combined… for the next sixteen years!  Government spending is projected to hit $3.8 trillion this year alone.  Even after every tax dollar paid by Americans has been counted, the government will still overspend by another $1.13 trillion.  Every single second of the day our government spends over $12,000.  So in the time it takes you to read this article, roughly five minutes, our government has spent $3.6 million.  It take four seconds for the government to spend what the average American earns in an entire year."  (source: by Tim Phillips 17Sep12 at TownHall.com)
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     It has been suggested that o'who?, the clown, and 'those who surround him' are not the bumbling fools they appear to be.  Nor are they one of the 'Three Stooges' but rather are shrewd implementation/drivers and fellow-travelers of policies designed to disarm the citizenry & collapse the American economy.  Why?  o'nocchio's grandiose scheme to "fundamentally transform America" is more than simple campaign rhetoric as can be seen by his use of "enabling acts" to circumvent the Constitution of the United States.  As Ollie used to say, "Well, here's another nice mess you've gotten me into."

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Judica me, Deus, et discerne causam meam de gente non sancta, ab homine iniquo et doloso erue me.
Do me justice, O God, and distinguish my cause from the nation that is not holy; rescue me from the deceitful and unjust man.
- Psalm 43 KJV, 42 Douay Rheims  (http://barnhardt.biz)

There are certain universal truths.  There is right and wrong.  Life is, choice Isn't.  The 2nd Amendment is for you and me, not the government.

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